Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at 貓腳印-桃園店 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.0%
avg ELO +3.8 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1256
· median 1256
· range 1256–1256
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1254
Q3 1406
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 18.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Wind Allies | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +20.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Vanitas | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Water Arisanna | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
