← HVN Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Wind OverlordTier 2
at HVN Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1383
· median 1383
· range 1383–1383
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1174
Q3 1371
1599
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Water Polkhawk | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Overlord decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
