HVN Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	15.6%	12-10-2	54.2%	46.5%	50.8%	48.6%	1317	—
2		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	9.4%	7-4-2	61.5%	49.3%	54.5%	52.3%	1349	↑ top
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	9.4%	8-7-0	53.3%	53.3%	49.9%	50.5%	1266	—
4		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	9.4%	8-7-0	53.3%	48.3%	48.5%	47.7%	1248	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	6.2%	8-2-1	77.3%	68.7%	53.8%	55.3%	1371	↑ top
6		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-6-0	33.3%	45.9%	44.3%	48.0%	1042	↓ low
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-5-1	45.0%	52.6%	46.2%	49.5%	1233	—
8		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	6.2%	5-1-3	72.2%	52.7%	54.0%	50.5%	1381	↑ top
9		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	61.7%	52.2%	54.5%	1279	—
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	56.5%	46.7%	51.2%	1331	—
11		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	56.6%	49.1%	51.7%	1150	↓ low
12		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	53.2%	53.8%	52.4%	1254	—
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.6%	46.4%	48.8%	1181	↓ low
14		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-6-0	0.0%	23.9%	40.0%	41.0%	1013	↓ low
15		Water Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	64.2%	53.8%	57.4%	1285	—
16		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.8%	40.0%	44.0%	1211	—
17		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	44.2%	51.4%	49.1%	1378	↑ top
18		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.2%	49.3%	48.2%	1383	↑ top
19		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-6-0	0.0%	33.1%	40.0%	44.5%	921	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 15.6%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Polkhawk 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Polkhawk 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%