← GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Aggro 3 7.0% 15 70.0% 63.3% 56.8% 56.6% 1257
2 Water Diana 1 2.3% 6 50.0% 55.6% 51.9% 53.2% 1228 ↓ low
3 Wind Astra Cleric 6 14.0% 23 63.0% 56.8% 51.9% 51.0% 1343
4 Wind Shadowstrike 6 14.0% 30 58.3% 59.7% 51.5% 53.9% 1278
5 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 4.7% 11 45.5% 56.9% 51.1% 54.7% 1314
6 Fire Crux Mage 2 4.7% 10 50.0% 43.6% 51.1% 48.6% 1285
7 Water Genbu 7 16.3% 34 47.1% 47.3% 50.0% 49.7% 1375 ↑ top
8 Water Neos 1 2.3% 6 50.0% 48.7% 47.9% 48.3% 1267
9 Water Fractal 8 18.6% 30 46.7% 42.9% 47.2% 45.4% 1295
10 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 2.3% 6 41.7% 50.5% 46.3% 49.7% 1135 ↓ low
11 Wind Lorraine 1 2.3% 6 50.0% 52.1% 45.9% 46.8% 1063 ↓ low
12 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 2.3% 5 20.0% 36.7% 42.1% 43.7% 1205 ↓ low
13 Wind Allies 1 2.3% 1 0.0% 39.8% 40.0% 39.8% 1252
14 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 2.3% 2 0.0% 35.0% 40.0% 41.0% 1431 ↑ top
15 Wind Overlord 1 2.3% 2 0.0% 37.6% 40.0% 45.8% 1321
16 Fire Exia Jin 1 2.3% 3 0.0% 25.7% 37.1% 34.9% 1190 ↓ low