EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 東門艾客米101聯賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 4.2% | 8 | 81.2% | 52.5% | 59.3% | 50.9% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 2 | 8.3% | 12 | 58.3% | 52.3% | 53.6% | 51.1% | 1369 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 16.7% | 22 | 52.3% | 50.3% | 52.7% | 50.5% | 1323 | — |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 3 | 12.5% | 16 | 46.9% | 48.2% | 51.0% | 49.3% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 55.0% | 51.0% | 50.6% | 50.3% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 3 | 12.5% | 15 | 46.7% | 49.0% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 48.7% | 49.5% | 1469 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 49.1% | 1327 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 16.7% | 23 | 52.2% | 50.3% | 47.4% | 49.7% | 1268 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 47.9% | 44.5% | 49.4% | 1542 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 50.4% | 44.2% | 50.2% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 50.4% | 44.2% | 50.2% | 1180 | ↓ low |