EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/10.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 100.0% | 52.3% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1291 | — |
| 2 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.4% | 59.4% | 50.4% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Neos | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.3% | 58.0% | 50.9% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 4 | 9.5% | 15 | 66.7% | 51.2% | 57.9% | 50.7% | 1422 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 87.5% | 51.0% | 55.6% | 50.2% | 1328 | — |
| 6 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 87.5% | 51.0% | 55.6% | 50.2% | 1328 | — |
| 7 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 55.0% | 50.6% | 1131 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Fractal | 3 | 7.1% | 10 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 53.4% | 50.5% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 50.3% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Genbu | 2 | 4.8% | 8 | 62.5% | 50.6% | 52.9% | 50.2% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 4.8% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 51.4% | 49.7% | 1403 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Exia | 3 | 7.1% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 50.0% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Arisanna | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 4.8% | 8 | 68.8% | 50.1% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1273 | — |
| 15 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1369 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 2.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.5% | 48.6% | 50.3% | 1400 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 47.1% | 49.3% | 1548 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 4.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 49.2% | 46.7% | 49.5% | 1492 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Wind Shadowstrike | 5 | 11.9% | 14 | 35.7% | 49.5% | 46.1% | 49.8% | 1259 | — |
| 20 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 45.0% | 49.4% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 21 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 7.1% | 7 | 28.6% | 48.7% | 40.9% | 49.2% | 1328 | — |
| 22 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.9% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 4.8% | 4 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Slimes | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 0.0% | 48.5% | 40.0% | 49.4% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.8% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1144 | ↓ low |