← The 1st Non-Meta deck Tournament (Hong Kong)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The 1st Non-Meta deck Tournament (Hong Kong).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 9 | 83.3% | 52.6% | 59.8% | 51.5% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Umbra Tristan | 1 | 5.0% | 12 | 75.0% | 54.7% | 59.3% | 52.3% | 1370 | — |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Tamer | 2 | 10.0% | 14 | 60.7% | 51.0% | 54.7% | 50.9% | 1308 | — |
| 4 | Wind Tera Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 64.3% | 53.0% | 54.5% | 51.5% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Byakko | 3 | 15.0% | 23 | 58.7% | 49.1% | 52.7% | 49.8% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 52.5% | 50.2% | 1333 | — |
| 7 | Water Zander | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 51.4% | 50.7% | 50.6% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 5.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 50.0% | 49.8% | 1298 | — |
| 9 | Wind Umbra Tristan | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 41.7% | 50.3% | 48.8% | 50.1% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.1% | 48.3% | 49.1% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Luxem Tamer | 3 | 15.0% | 19 | 47.4% | 49.3% | 48.1% | 49.6% | 1338 | — |
| 12 | Fire Byakko | 2 | 10.0% | 9 | 33.3% | 47.9% | 47.9% | 49.5% | 1346 | — |
| 13 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 5.0% | 9 | 44.4% | 49.9% | 46.2% | 49.7% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.7% | 45.7% | 50.2% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Tera Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 9 | 44.4% | 50.5% | 45.4% | 49.6% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 48.5% | 44.0% | 49.0% | 1380 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 28.6% | 49.2% | 43.3% | 49.4% | 1362 | — |
| 18 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 14.3% | 45.8% | 43.1% | 48.9% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 47.4% | 43.0% | 48.7% | 1182 | ↓ low |