HVN Revelfest Chaos Tournament!

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	9.7%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.3%	46.1%	49.3%	1237	—
2		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	3	9.7%	4-6-0	40.0%	48.2%	46.2%	49.1%	1271	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	9.7%	5-5-2	50.0%	50.6%	51.3%	50.5%	1225	—
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	6.5%	4-4-0	50.0%	51.4%	48.9%	50.1%	1204	—
5		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	6.5%	6-1-1	81.2%	54.0%	59.7%	51.9%	1333	↑ top
6		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	6.5%	2-5-1	31.2%	48.2%	48.0%	49.8%	1219	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.2%	2-1-1	62.5%	50.6%	48.6%	49.5%	1191	↓ low
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.7%	50.0%	50.0%	1302	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.0%	44.3%	48.6%	1305	↑ top
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.0%	46.2%	49.4%	1197	↓ low
11		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.2%	56.0%	50.7%	1341	↑ top
12		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.2%	45.3%	48.9%	1157	↓ low
13		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.2%	2-1-1	62.5%	51.7%	52.5%	50.7%	1204	—
14		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.4%	46.7%	49.5%	1222	—
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.1%	41.7%	48.1%	1144	↓ low
16		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	53.0%	56.7%	51.5%	1163	↓ low
17		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.2%	2-1-1	62.5%	51.2%	55.0%	50.9%	1158	↓ low
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-0-1	87.5%	50.9%	56.7%	50.2%	1493	↑ top
19		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.7%	47.1%	49.9%	1143	↓ low
20		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.3%	47.8%	49.7%	1161	↓ low
21		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.3%	52.5%	50.1%	1313	↑ top
22		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.1%	51.3%	50.3%	1194	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 3 decks · 9.7%
• Wind Razorgale 3 decks · 9.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 9.7%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 6.5%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 3.2%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 3.2%