← JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-6-0
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.4%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1313–1399
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1133
Q1 1341
Q3 1417
1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.5% | -7.8 |
| Wind Allies | 18.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.9% | +10.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
