← JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
3
(18.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
5-11-1
overall winrate
32.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.4%
avg ELO -8.9 per match
expected value
40.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1396
· median 1387
· range 1359–1442
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1133
Q1 1341
Q3 1417
1508
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.5% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 28.6% | -12.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.1% | -10.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.0% | -10.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
