← Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.8% | 9 | 77.8% | 59.7% | 57.6% | 54.3% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.8% | 9 | 66.7% | 62.4% | 56.5% | 56.7% | 1286 | — |
| 3 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 57.1% | 69.2% | 55.5% | 61.9% | 1226 | — |
| 4 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.8% | 8 | 68.8% | 63.8% | 53.6% | 54.8% | 1232 | — |
| 5 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 64.3% | 48.9% | 53.3% | 49.8% | 1481 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 9 | 42.9% | 45 | 53.3% | 50.1% | 52.6% | 51.0% | 1315 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.8% | 10 | 60.0% | 63.6% | 51.7% | 55.0% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 9.5% | 12 | 50.0% | 53.9% | 51.6% | 53.0% | 1298 | — |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 39.3% | 49.3% | 46.4% | 1266 | — |
| 10 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 47.6% | 49.6% | 1188 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 51.8% | 47.3% | 50.4% | 1325 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 19.0% | 25 | 48.0% | 49.2% | 46.3% | 47.4% | 1261 | — |
| 13 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 36.7% | 43.0% | 41.4% | 1095 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.8% | 3 | 0.0% | 22.7% | 40.0% | 38.3% | 1277 | — |
| 15 | Slimes | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 8.3% | 25.2% | 38.8% | 39.1% | 1072 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 14.3% | 30.8% | 33.6% | 35.5% | 1180 | ↓ low |