Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/14/2025

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	8	18.2%	16-14-1	53.2%	50.2%	49.8%	50.0%	1343	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	8	18.2%	19-9-3	66.1%	50.8%	56.9%	50.4%	1305	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	6.8%	5-7-1	42.3%	49.8%	48.7%	50.0%	1326	—
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	3	6.8%	5-6-0	45.5%	50.5%	48.0%	50.0%	1300	—
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	3	6.8%	5-8-0	38.5%	48.6%	42.6%	49.2%	1386	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	4.5%	3-7-0	30.0%	49.3%	43.8%	49.7%	1237	↓ low
7		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	4.5%	5-5-1	50.0%	48.6%	48.8%	49.3%	1550	↑ top
8		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	4.5%	3-6-0	33.3%	49.8%	47.8%	50.2%	1280	—
9		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	2	4.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	50.2%	41.9%	49.9%	1121	↓ low
10		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	4.5%	9-1-0	90.0%	52.2%	59.5%	51.0%	1291	—
11		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.5%	0-3-2	20.0%	49.1%	41.9%	49.6%	1162	↓ low
12		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	4.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	48.2%	40.0%	49.2%	1253	↓ low
13		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	2	4.5%	5-6-0	45.5%	49.8%	49.7%	49.8%	1550	↑ top
14		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-1	16.7%	49.6%	42.9%	49.9%	1159	↓ low
15		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.1%	54.3%	50.6%	1119	↓ low
16		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	52.2%	58.7%	51.1%	1232	↓ low
17		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	48.4%	41.7%	49.3%	1348	—
18		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.2%	49.3%	50.3%	1426	↑ top
19		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.5%	46.3%	49.8%	1410	↑ top
20		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.0%	43.3%	49.5%	1548	↑ top
21		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-1-0	50.0%	49.7%	54.5%	50.1%	1376	—
22		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	49.2%	58.5%	49.8%	1432	↑ top
23		Water Overlord	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	51.6%	52.7%	50.5%	1162	↓ low
24		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	49.1%	40.0%	49.5%	1164	↓ low
25		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-1-1	70.0%	50.0%	52.7%	50.0%	1652	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 8 decks · 18.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 8 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 2 decks · 4.5%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 4.5%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Ciel 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Overlord 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.3%