← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/14/2025
Fire OblationTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/14/2025
decks
2
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-5-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1550
· median 1550
· range 1444–1656
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1180
Q3 1421
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 18.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
