← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
decks
4
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
8-11-0
overall winrate
42.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1289
· median 1277
· range 1094–1508
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1040
Q1 1221
Q3 1420
1652
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Ciel | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
