← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 50.9% | +0.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Hubris | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |