← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/28/2025
decks
2
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-5-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1383
· median 1383
· range 1218–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1040
Q1 1221
Q3 1420
1652
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Ciel | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
