← RWT Collective - DTR Store Champs
Fire AggroTier 1
at RWT Collective - DTR Store Champs
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-6-0
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.8%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
52.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1110–1528
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1238
Q3 1465
1593
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
