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Water AlliesTier 1

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decks
1 (4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9% avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
51.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1376 · median 1376 · range 1376–1376 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1110 Q1 1238 Q3 1465 1593
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 12.5% 0
Fire Aggro 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.6
Water Genbu 8.3% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 8.3% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 4.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.3% -5.9
Fire Exia 4.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.1% +6.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.2% 0
Fire Shadowstrike 4.2% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.2% 0
Slimes 4.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.6% -5.4
Water Aetherwing 4.2% 0
Water Astra Ranger 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.3% -20.4
Water Neos 4.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.2% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 4.2% 0
Wind Razorgale 4.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/31775/archetypes/Water Allies