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Fire Crux MageTier 1
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.9 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -8.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +7.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duplicitous Replication | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Consumption Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |