Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Apex DTR Store champs
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
4-10-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.7%
avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1317
· median 1257
· range 1183–1512
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1263
Q3 1393
1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 42.0% | -4.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.3% | -3.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Wind Cats | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
