Wind Umbra TristanTier 2
at 0817 DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
3-9-3
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
42.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1143
· median 1143
· range 1067–1220
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1180
Q3 1391
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.9% | +8.5 |
| Fire Suited | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Umbra Tristan decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
