Fire ByakkoTier 2
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.6%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1311–1311
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1236
Q3 1435
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -6.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
