Horse and TaxesTier 1
at CMB Games Store Champs
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +6.7 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1549
· median 1549
· range 1549–1549
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1207
Q3 1439
1750
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 23.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 23.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.1 |
| Hidden | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
