Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at DTR Regionals!
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
1-6-1
overall winrate
18.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.4%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
40.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1173
· median 1173
· range 1173–1173
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1188
Q3 1404
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
