EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 9/6 中貓 DTR Store Champion.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.3% | 10 | 100.0% | 69.8% | 69.6% | 61.0% | 1568 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 10.0% | 20 | 62.5% | 52.7% | 59.7% | 56.0% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.3% | 11 | 72.7% | 71.6% | 57.3% | 59.9% | 1324 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 6.7% | 12 | 62.5% | 52.4% | 55.5% | 52.2% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 35.9% | 54.0% | 46.2% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 3.3% | 9 | 55.6% | 55.8% | 53.3% | 54.5% | 1239 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.3% | 6 | 75.0% | 66.0% | 52.1% | 53.6% | 1315 | — |
| 8 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 3.3% | 6 | 58.3% | 58.6% | 51.9% | 51.8% | 1254 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 9 | 30.0% | 44 | 48.9% | 56.8% | 49.8% | 53.8% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Rile | 9 | 30.0% | 45 | 50.0% | 44.2% | 49.0% | 46.0% | 1380 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 3.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 36.1% | 45.5% | 44.2% | 1360 | — |
| 12 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 52.2% | 44.1% | 50.1% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 37.5% | 43.7% | 46.8% | 1150 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Exia | 2 | 6.7% | 14 | 50.0% | 52.8% | 43.7% | 45.8% | 1280 | — |
| 15 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 3.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 47.4% | 42.7% | 48.4% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 38.0% | 42.3% | 43.1% | 1455 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 3.3% | 6 | 33.3% | 29.1% | 41.7% | 39.0% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Fire Genbu | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.7% | 41.0% | 41.9% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 3.3% | 6 | 0.0% | 26.7% | 36.0% | 39.3% | 1348 | — |