Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at KYD DTR Store Champion
decks
2
(3.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-6-1
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1372
· median 1372
· range 1358–1386
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1275
Q3 1419
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -3.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Fire Suited | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.3 |
