Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at KYD DTR Store Champion
decks
2
(3.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
6-8-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.6%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
44.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1463
· median 1463
· range 1389–1536
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1275
Q3 1419
1591
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | -16.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.0% | +0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
