Water Crux MageTier 3
at KYD DTR Store Champion
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.7%
avg ELO -12.2 per match
expected value
34.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1333
· range 1333–1333
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1275
Q3 1419
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.2% | -13.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Fire Suited | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
