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Fire AggroTier 2

at Deck Out Store Championships

decks
1 (7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.4% avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
33.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1106 · median 1106 · range 1106–1106 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106 Q1 1285 Q3 1448 1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 42.9% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 39.9% -7.5
Fire Suzaku 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.2% -6.1
Fire Exia 7.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.8% -6.7
Fire Oblation 7.1% 0
Water Allies 7.1% 0
Water Astra Ranger 7.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.1% 0
Wind Razorgale 7.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 7.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.0% -14.4
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/31994/archetypes/Fire Aggro