← Deck Out Store Championships
Water AlliesTier 2
at Deck Out Store Championships
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.2%
avg ELO -7.9 per match
expected value
41.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1315
· median 1315
· range 1315–1315
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1285
Q3 1448
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
