← Deck Out Store Championships
Fire ExiaTier 1
at Deck Out Store Championships
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +9.3 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
60.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1195
· median 1195
· range 1195–1195
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1285
Q3 1448
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 63.5% | +13.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
