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Wind AlliesTier 1
at Store Championship Cardpoint
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-2-3
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1439
· median 1439
· range 1439–1439
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1092
Q1 1156
Q3 1319
1584
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 35.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.7 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
