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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Store Championship Cardpoint
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
4-6-4
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1317
· median 1317
· range 1297–1336
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1092
Q1 1156
Q3 1319
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 35.3% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 46.9% | -1.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
