← The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 71.4% | 61.9% | 55.8% | 54.7% | 1280 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 17.6% | 17 | 58.8% | 58.0% | 53.2% | 52.4% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 17.6% | 12 | 58.3% | 63.8% | 52.9% | 56.6% | 1309 | — |
| 4 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.4% | 51.9% | 48.7% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 34.9% | 50.6% | 43.8% | 1335 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 35.6% | 50.5% | 44.5% | 1519 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 55.1% | 49.1% | 50.3% | 1259 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 27.8% | 38.7% | 44.3% | 46.2% | 1243 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 31.2% | 44.0% | 44.2% | 46.6% | 1239 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Norm Tera Silvie | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.7% | 43.3% | 46.5% | 1208 | ↓ low |