← Gamers Guild Tempe - Grand Archive Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gamers Guild Tempe - Grand Archive Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.3% | 60.0% | 60.7% | 1128 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 100.0% | 65.7% | 60.0% | 56.8% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 80.0% | 68.9% | 55.7% | 57.2% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 45.6% | 51.2% | 49.6% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 23.1% | 12 | 50.0% | 45.5% | 51.1% | 49.3% | 1260 | — |
| 6 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.4% | 48.0% | 49.3% | 1235 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 46.7% | 49.1% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Rile | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.6% | 45.7% | 48.4% | 1198 | — |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.6% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 1214 | — |
| 10 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.2% | 40.0% | 43.5% | 1094 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 0.0% | 23.9% | 40.0% | 39.5% | 1176 | ↓ low |