Gamers Guild NPHX - Grand Archive Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	21.4%	6-8-0	42.9%	41.8%	44.9%	43.9%	1189	↓ low
2		Fire Rile	Tier 1	3	21.4%	7-4-1	62.5%	62.2%	56.1%	57.3%	1226	—
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	14.3%	3-5-1	38.9%	45.0%	48.5%	49.3%	1220	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	14.3%	6-4-2	58.3%	53.0%	52.9%	51.4%	1223	—
5		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	38.2%	46.7%	47.8%	1436	↑ top
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	38.7%	45.3%	45.9%	1162	↓ low
7		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	7.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	75.2%	60.0%	60.6%	1368	↑ top
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	7.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	42.8%	49.0%	46.5%	1333	↑ top
9		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	59.6%	52.0%	53.8%	1214	—
10		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.3%	40.0%	41.5%	1159	↓ low
11		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-1-0	75.0%	59.3%	54.0%	52.8%	1235	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 21.4%
• Fire Rile 3 decks · 21.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 14.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 7.1%