← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 91.7% | 64.6% | 59.6% | 55.4% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 43.4% | 53.0% | 48.7% | 1414 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.3% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 51.4% | 52.6% | 1354 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.7% | 50.0% | 49.2% | 1334 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 44.4% | 53.8% | 49.7% | 52.5% | 1266 | — |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 55.0% | 49.0% | 49.7% | 48.4% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 56.0% | 45.8% | 51.6% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.8% | 45.7% | 45.7% | 1230 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1068 | ↓ low |