← AGORA HOBBY DTR Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 24.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +3.9 |
| Water Fractal | 10.3% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.1% | +3.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glowering Conflagration | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Yuan Shao, Crown General | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmering Refraction | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravenous Pyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| March Hare, Mottled Host | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |