← Distorted Reflection Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflection Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 100.0% | 78.8% | 60.0% | 59.7% | 1393 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 87.5% | 64.6% | 58.9% | 57.9% | 1502 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 62.5% | 51.7% | 58.8% | 53.7% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 80.0% | 58.0% | 58.2% | 56.0% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.0% | 57.5% | 57.6% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 47.3% | 55.5% | 51.3% | 1216 | — |
| 7 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.9% | 55.5% | 53.4% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.7% | 50.0% | 45.9% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 33.5% | 47.8% | 44.9% | 1120 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Rile | 6 | 42.9% | 18 | 38.9% | 44.5% | 46.3% | 47.8% | 1271 | — |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 16.7% | 44.5% | 45.2% | 50.2% | 994 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Exia | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 47.4% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 55.8% | 44.4% | 48.4% | 1086 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Diana | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.9% | 42.2% | 44.4% | 1218 | — |
| 15 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 12.5% | 33.6% | 41.1% | 41.6% | 1158 | ↓ low |