Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at GAG Store Championship
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-4-1
overall winrate
65.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301
· median 1301
· range 1207–1396
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1247
Q3 1403
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +2.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
