← Storm Gate Games Distorted Reflections Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Storm Gate Games Distorted Reflections Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 28.6% | 14 | 67.9% | 61.4% | 58.5% | 56.8% | 1307 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.9% | 55.0% | 52.8% | 1461 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 53.3% | 52.3% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 58.3% | 49.2% | 50.9% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 49.1% | 47.4% | 1301 | — |
| 6 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 45.1% | 49.0% | 47.0% | 1306 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 3 | 21.4% | 10 | 15.0% | 33.3% | 40.3% | 43.6% | 1186 | ↓ low |