← Hobbies Corner DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Hobbies Corner DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-5-1
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.0%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1401
· median 1401
· range 1399–1404
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1196
Q1 1258
Q3 1438
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 21.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
