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Norm Tera SilvieTier 2

at Hobbies Corner DTR Store Championship

decks
2 (10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.6% avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
40.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1220 · median 1220 · range 1208–1232 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1196 Q1 1258 Q3 1438 1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 21.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Aggro 15.8% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 42.2% -5.8
Wind Seiryuu 15.8% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 10.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.2% -7.7
Fire Suited 5.3% 0
Fire Suzaku 5.3% 0
Water Allies 5.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 5.3% 0
Water Genbu 5.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Norm Tera Silvie decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 10 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 10 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Engineered Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Lustrous Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Tera Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Red Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32198/archetypes/Norm Tera Silvie