← Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-6-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
44.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1177
· median 1177
· range 1134–1220
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1258
Q3 1425
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +3.6 |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Water Diao Chan | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
