← Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
Wind ArcaneTier 1
at Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
59.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1607
· median 1607
· range 1607–1607
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1258
Q3 1425
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 71.2% | +15.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.8% | -11.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
