← Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 16.7% | 11 | 81.8% | 63.3% | 58.5% | 54.4% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 8.3% | 7 | 78.6% | 59.8% | 55.9% | 53.4% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.3% | 51.4% | 50.7% | 1208 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 16.7% | 9 | 44.4% | 42.8% | 51.0% | 50.1% | 1374 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.9% | 48.7% | 50.5% | 1262 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.9% | 47.8% | 50.8% | 1206 | — |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.4% | 45.0% | 47.6% | 1116 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 46.9% | 44.0% | 50.3% | 988 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 16.7% | 7 | 14.3% | 33.4% | 39.5% | 42.3% | 1185 | ↓ low |