Fire Crux MageTier 1
at DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-0-2
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.5%
avg ELO +7.8 per match
expected value
58.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1472
· median 1472
· range 1472–1472
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1247
Q3 1467
1512
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 35.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.9% | +7.6 |
| Fire Suited | 21.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
