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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

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decks
2 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 2-6-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.7% avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
42.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1246 · median 1246 · range 1159–1334 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1159 Q1 1247 Q3 1467 1512
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 35.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.4% -4.2
Fire Suited 21.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -1.6
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.8% -9.8
Fire Aggro 7.1% 0
Fire Byakko 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 0
Fire Exia 7.1% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.1% 0
Horse and Taxes 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.4% -4.2
Water Genbu 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.9% -6.6
Wind Allies 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.1% +17.7
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 51 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dilu, Auspicious Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper -1.00 0 1 0
Forest Cake +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Shadows -1.00 0 1 0
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess -1.00 0 1 0
Rescue the Heir -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Mortal Ambition -1.00 0 1 0
Harness Lightning +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Mandate of Honor -1.00 0 1 0
Changban, Heroic Impasse -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar -1.00 0 1 0
Purifying Thurible -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Inert Sword -1.00 0 1 0
Song of Nurturing -1.00 0 1 0
Trained Hawk +1.00 1 0 0
Chrysalis, Hazy Caterpillar -1.00 0 1 0
Triskit, Guidance Angel -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Quan, Sealbearer -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Baby Green Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Oath of the Sakura -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Byakko's Command +1.00 1 0 0
Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Seiryuu's Command +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32242/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu