← GGCP Distorted Reflections Store Championship - 7th September
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GGCP Distorted Reflections Store Championship - 7th September .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 100.0% | 68.9% | 66.9% | 60.8% | 1509 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 80.0% | 62.4% | 58.2% | 58.1% | 1384 | — |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 75.4% | 57.6% | 65.1% | 1268 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.9% | 56.4% | 52.8% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 18.2% | 10 | 55.0% | 35.4% | 54.9% | 45.5% | 1494 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 6 | 54.5% | 19 | 44.7% | 40.8% | 48.5% | 47.0% | 1400 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 18.2% | 10 | 30.0% | 43.7% | 42.8% | 48.4% | 1236 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.5% | 40.0% | 44.6% | 1284 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 9.1% | 7 | 14.3% | 50.4% | 35.6% | 49.0% | 1204 | ↓ low |