EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA DTR Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 13.3% | 9 | 83.3% | 67.4% | 63.1% | 59.9% | 1312 | — |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 59.3% | 59.1% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 59.8% | 56.0% | 54.9% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 40.0% | 44.7% | 52.0% | 52.3% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Rile | 5 | 33.3% | 19 | 50.0% | 47.0% | 51.2% | 49.5% | 1328 | — |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 4 | 26.7% | 19 | 52.6% | 57.9% | 50.7% | 54.0% | 1264 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 13.3% | 10 | 35.0% | 47.4% | 43.2% | 46.5% | 1306 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 16.7% | 25.9% | 40.5% | 38.9% | 1300 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 13.3% | 7 | 21.4% | 27.9% | 39.8% | 38.6% | 1322 | — |